Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.002057 0.002159 0.002267 0.002390 0.002525 0.002672 0.002843
2025-05-25 0.001888 0.002030 0.002185 0.002371 0.002590 0.002843 0.003161
2025-06-01 0.001757 0.001920 0.002105 0.002335 0.002618 0.002962 0.003427
2025-06-08 0.001698 0.001883 0.002099 0.002378 0.002736 0.003198 0.003869
2025-06-15 0.001641 0.001841 0.002081 0.002399 0.002825 0.003401 0.004299
2025-06-22 0.001572 0.001778 0.002030 0.002371 0.002842 0.003504 0.004599
2025-06-29 0.001506 0.001715 0.001974 0.002330 0.002834 0.003567 0.004844
2025-07-06 0.001458 0.001670 0.001937 0.002311 0.002853 0.003669 0.005173
2025-07-13 0.001383 0.001589 0.001848 0.002215 0.002751 0.003571 0.005118
2025-07-20 0.001349 0.001557 0.001823 0.002205 0.002774 0.003674 0.005466
2025-07-27 0.001328 0.001542 0.001819 0.002223 0.002840 0.003853 0.006018
2025-08-03 0.001300 0.001516 0.001798 0.002215 0.002866 0.003966 0.006461
2025-08-10 0.001284 0.001507 0.001801 0.002244 0.002954 0.004210 0.007331
2025-08-17 0.001257 0.001481 0.001779 0.002235 0.002980 0.004341 0.007982
2025-08-24 0.001224 0.001447 0.001745 0.002205 0.002967 0.004395 0.008438
2025-08-31 0.001216 0.001445 0.001756 0.002244 0.003077 0.004720 0.010012
2025-09-07 0.001202 0.001435 0.001755 0.002264 0.003153 0.004989 0.011693
2025-09-14 0.001176 0.001407 0.001727 0.002239 0.003146 0.005067 0.012644
2025-09-21 0.001148 0.001376 0.001692 0.002202 0.003114 0.005079 0.013299
2025-09-28 0.001127 0.001354 0.001671 0.002185 0.003117 0.005180 0.014620
2025-10-05 0.001088 0.001305 0.001608 0.002098 0.002982 0.004913 0.013388
2025-10-12 0.001071 0.001289 0.001593 0.002089 0.002996 0.005032 0.014885
2025-10-19 0.001063 0.001283 0.001593 0.002105 0.003060 0.005295 0.018077